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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Gillingham |
| 28.04% | 26.52% | 45.44% |
| Both teams to score 49.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.35% | 54.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.02% | 75.99% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.41% | 34.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.68% | 71.32% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% | 23.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.77% | 58.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 6.67% 2-0 @ 4.67% 3-1 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.19% Total : 28.05% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.3% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 11.84% 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 8.46% 1-3 @ 4.27% 0-3 @ 4.03% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.63% Total : 45.43% |