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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Rochdale |
| 39.55% ( | 27.9% ( | 32.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.78% ( | 58.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.14% ( | 78.87% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( | 28.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.45% ( | 64.55% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% ( | 33.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.27% ( | 69.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% 2-1 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.7% Total : 39.54% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.52% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 10.51% 1-2 @ 7.24% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.55% |