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Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 22
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Prenton Park
Crawley Town

Tranmere
1 - 0
Crawley

Turnbull (68')
Walker (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-5 Carlisle
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-0 Crawley Town

Tranmere have been on a really poor run of form, but they are above Crawley in the table and have enough quality to secure a narrow victory on home soil. Crawley have not won away all season and lost in disappointing style against Hartlepool last time out, so they are likely to come away empty-handed again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCrawley Town
56.36% (1.024 1.02) 23.77% (-0.406 -0.41) 19.86% (-0.619 -0.62)
Both teams to score 49.15% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96% (0.844 0.84)51.03% (-0.846 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1% (0.735 0.74)72.9% (-0.73700000000001 -0.74)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (0.697 0.7)17.93% (-0.698 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.25% (1.183 1.18)48.75% (-1.186 -1.19)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.89% (-0.18 -0.18)40.1% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.25% (-0.163 -0.16)76.74% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 56.35%
    Crawley Town 19.86%
    Draw 23.77%
Tranmere RoversDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 12.35% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 10.62% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.08% (0.202 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.56% (0.158 0.16)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.143 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.119 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 56.35%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.247 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.259 -0.26)
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 19.86%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Crawley

Tranmere Rovers
73.7%
Draw
15.8%
Crawley Town
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Crawley
0-1
Tranmere

Davies (25'), Appiah (69'), Francillette (89')
McManaman (38')
Nevitt (3'), Clarke (89'), Dieseruvwe (90+1')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Tranmere
2-1
Crawley
Clarke (28', 79')
Cogley (16'), Merrie (20')
Appiah (64')
Davies (33'), Powell (43')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Oct 27, 2020 6.30pm
Crawley
4-0
Tranmere
Watters (13'), Nichols (21'), Tunnicliffe (24'), Frost (77')

Smith (55'), Vaughan (61'), MacDonald (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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