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Championship header 2

League Two

AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Crawley Town

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Crawley

FT(HT: 0-1)
Nadesan (5')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 3-1 Harrogate
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCrawley Town
48.76% (1.303 1.3)25.34% (-0.483 -0.48)25.89% (-0.817 -0.82)
Both teams to score 51.61% (0.787 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59% (1.358 1.36)51.41% (-1.356 -1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (1.172 1.17)73.22% (-1.17 -1.17)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (1.135 1.14)21.1% (-1.133 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (1.733 1.73)53.92% (-1.732 -1.73)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.4% (0.057000000000002 0.06)34.6% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.68% (0.058 0.06)71.32% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 48.76%
    Crawley Town 25.89%
    Draw 25.34%
AFC WimbledonDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.35% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.149 0.15)
2-0 @ 8.84% (0.127 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.239 0.24)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.218 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.153 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.142 0.14)
4-2 @ 1% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 48.76%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.404 -0.4)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.086 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.417 -0.42)
1-2 @ 6.4% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.215 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 25.89%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2022 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Crawley
Hudlin (29' pen.), Assal (75'), Frimpong (78')
Bartley (26')
Powell (59'), Frimpong (90+6' og.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Crawley
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

Omole (25'), Craig (45')
Craig (55')
Young-Coombes (15'), Chislett (45+1')
Davison (37'), Brown (72')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Crawley
Pigott (22')
Rudoni (90+4')
Nadesan (30'), Watters (50')
Powell (45+3')
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Crawley
Robinson (83')
Smith (12'), Meades (61')

Della Verde (83'), Dunne (89')
Aug 15, 2015 3pm
Crawley
1-2
AFC Wimbledon
Edwards (34')
Walton (68'), Edwards (80'), Donnelly (88')
Akinfenwa (51'), Barcham (76')
Taylor (74')
rhs 2.0


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