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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crawley Town |
48.76% ( 1.3) | 25.34% ( -0.48) | 25.89% ( -0.82) |
Both teams to score 51.61% ( 0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.59% ( 1.36) | 51.41% ( -1.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.78% ( 1.17) | 73.22% ( -1.17) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.9% ( 1.14) | 21.1% ( -1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.07% ( 1.73) | 53.92% ( -1.73) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.4% ( 0.06) | 34.6% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.68% ( 0.06) | 71.32% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.48% Total : 48.76% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.16% Total : 25.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 91 | 44 | 47 | 89 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 44 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 87 | 45 | 42 | 82 |
P | Wrexham | 44 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 51 | 33 | 82 |
4 | MK Dons | 44 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 74 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 70 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 68 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 66 |
8 | Walsall | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 66 | 65 | 1 | 65 |
9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 64 |
10 | Gillingham | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 63 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
12 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 62 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 60 |
14 | Notts County | 44 | 17 | 7 | 20 | 88 | 85 | 3 | 58 |
15 | Morecambe | 44 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 63 | 76 | -13 | 57 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 16 | 7 | 21 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 55 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 16 | 6 | 22 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 54 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 44 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 63 | 80 | -17 | 47 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 55 | 72 | -17 | 46 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 53 | 78 | -25 | 40 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 41 | 77 | -36 | 36 |
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