MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 20:37:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
AFC Wimbledon

Newport
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Charsley (69')
Farquharson (18'), Norman (61'), Lewis (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Al-Hamadi (5')
Currie (63'), McAteer (70'), Woodyard (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 1-1 Bradford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

Both sides will be fired up for this affair, as it is a close matchup that could be used as a platform for either side to springboard off and finish the season on a high. However, we believe that Newport will be frustrated to a third consecutive draw, while Wimbledon's record without a win will extend to nine games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
47.42% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 28.12% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.71% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.71% (0.033999999999999 0.03)62.29% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.05% (0.023999999999997 0.02)81.95% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.028999999999996 0.03)26.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38% (0.038999999999994 0.04)61.62% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)41.93% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 47.41%
    AFC Wimbledon 24.45%
    Draw 28.11%
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 14.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 47.41%
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.11%
0-1 @ 9.64% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 24.45%

How you voted: Newport vs AFC Wimbledon

Newport County
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
AFC Wimbledon
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2016 3pm
Dec 19, 2015 3pm
Newport
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Rodman (14'), Robinson (30' og.)
Taylor (53', 79')
Bulman (79')
Feb 7, 2015 3pm
Sep 27, 2014 3pm
Newport
4-1
AFC Wimbledon
Yakubu (18'), Pigott (46', 65'), O'Connor (91')
Sandell (24'), Willmott (54'), Pigott (87')
Akinfenwa (70')
Barrett (8'), Bennett (73'), Akinfenwa (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Mansfield TownMansfield392013679374273
2Stockport CountyStockport382011775403571
3Wrexham392010970482270
4MK Dons40207136354967
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe3918111067551265
6BarrowBarrow381713853401364
7Crawley TownCrawley38185155754359
8Gillingham40178153947-859
9AFC Wimbledon4015131253421158
10Walsall381511125752556
11Newport CountyNewport39167165859-155
12Morecambe39159155968-954
13Harrogate TownHarrogate39159154655-954
14Notts County39156187674251
15Tranmere RoversTranmere40155205957250
16Accrington StanleyAccrington39148175257-550
17Bradford CityBradford391311154653-750
18Doncaster RoversDoncaster38147175162-1149
19Salford City401211176073-1347
20Swindon TownSwindon391111176570-544
21Grimsby Town38815154965-1639
22Colchester UnitedColchester37810194766-1934
23Sutton UnitedSutton40712214571-2633
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3989223865-2733


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