League Two

League Two | Gameweek 28

Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Charsley (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Al-Hamadi (5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 1-1 Bradford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
47.42% ( 0.03)	28.12% ( -0.02)	24.45% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 42.71% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.71% (

0.03)

62.29% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.05% (

0.02)

81.95% (

-0.03)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.55% (

0.03)

26.45% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.38% (

0.04)

61.62% (

-0.04)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.07% (

41.93% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.63% (

78.37% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Newport County 47.41%

AFC Wimbledon 24.45%

Draw 28.11%

Newport County	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 14.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 47.41%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.11%	0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 1.15% Total : 24.45%