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Championship header 2

League Two

AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Mansfield Town

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 3
Mansfield

Al-Hamadi (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Harbottle (30'), Johnson (66'), Keillor-Dunn (77')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Mansfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-3 Stevenage
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 2-5 Salford City
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 46.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawMansfield Town
26.59% (0.00099999999999767 0)26.88%46.53% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 47.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)56.79% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.27%77.73%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28%73.72%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.4% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)58.81% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 26.59%
    Mansfield Town 46.53%
    Draw 26.88%
AFC WimbledonDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 6.31%
2-0 @ 4.47%
3-1 @ 2.09%
3-0 @ 1.48%
3-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 26.59%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 9.01%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 12.71%
0-2 @ 8.97%
1-2 @ 8.93%
0-3 @ 4.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.2%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-4 @ 1.49%
1-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 46.53%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
5-2
AFC Wimbledon
Oates (32' pen.), Lapslie (40'), Maris (56'), Harbottle (70'), Swan (87')
Quinn (45+1'), McLaughlin (45+3')
Davison (4', 16')
Marsh (28'), Currie (31'), Brown (45+4'), Ogundere (82')
Gunter (45')
Jan 16, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
3-1
Mansfield
Taylor (49'), Meades (78'), Azeez (87')
Osborne (10'), Meades (49'), Azeez (82')
Green (11')
Sep 5, 2015 3pm
Mansfield
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Clements (15')
Chapman (51'), Rose (55'), Green (73'), Hunt (79')
Elliott (6')
Robinson (15'), Reeves (35'), Francomb (45')
Taylor (94')
Mar 17, 2015 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Beevers (56'), Bingham (87')
Francomb (69' pen.)
Dec 20, 2014 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Mansfield

Rigg (57'), Goodman (79')
Oliver (47')
Tafazolli (40'), Oliver (45'), Brown (58'), Freeman (87')
Taylor (34')
rhs 2.0


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