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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Bradford City |
| 36.75% ( | 28.43% ( | 34.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.14% ( | 59.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.87% ( | 80.13% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( | 31.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.46% ( | 67.54% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.56% ( | 32.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.04% ( | 68.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% ( 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 3-1 @ 3% ( 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 3-2 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.74% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.12% ( 2-2 @ 4.35% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.43% | 0-1 @ 11.39% ( 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.81% |