League Two Gameweek 28
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Omar Bugiel 40' goal
  • Omar Bugiel 47' goal
  • Lee Angol 88' goal

Sutton United vs Crawley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
Sutton 1 - 1 Crewe
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Omar Bugiel

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
Northampton 1 - 0 Crawley
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Dom Telford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result

Sutton United 61.44% (+0.02)
Draw 22.61% (-0.01)
Crawley Town 15.95% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.54% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.89% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 52.11% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 26.16% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 73.83% (-0.02)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5 83.48% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 16.52% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 53.73% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 46.27% (-0.02)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5 54.55% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 45.44% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 18.71% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 81.29% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Sutton United 61.43%
Draw 22.61%
Crawley Town 15.95%
Sutton United
1-0 @ 13.51% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 12.17%
2-1 @ 9.6% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.31% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.29% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 61.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.79% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.61%
Crawley Town
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.2%
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 15.95%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Aramide Oteh 90'+5' goal
  • goal Joe Kizzi 61'
  • goal Rob Milsom 70'
League Two Gameweek 40
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Alistair Smith 4' goal
  • Richie Bennett 7' goal
  • Jon Barden 35' yellowcard
  • Alistair Smith 86' goal
  • yellowcard Archie Davies 34'
  • yellowcard Aramide Oteh 52'
  • yellowcard Ashley Nadesan 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tom Dallison 19' yellowcard
  • Ludwig Francillette 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Louis John 75'
  • yellowcard Robert Milsom 75'
  • yellowcard Dean Bouzanis 76'
  • goal Isaac Olaofe 84'
  • yellowcard Enzio Boldewijn 90'+1'