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Championship header 2

League Two

Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields
Crawley Town

Northampton
1 - 0
Crawley

Sowerby (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Northampton
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Tranmere 1-0 Crawley
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCrawley Town
56.9% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)23.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 49.57% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)50.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (0.004999999999999 0)72.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)17.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.08% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)47.92% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)39.95% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4%76.6%
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 56.9%
    Crawley Town 19.6%
    Draw 23.49%
Northampton TownDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 56.9%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.4% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.94%
1-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 19.6%

How you voted: Northampton vs Crawley

Northampton Town
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Crawley Town
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Crawley
2-3
Northampton
Balagizi (4', 61')
Hoskins (13', 23'), Bowie (90+2')
Hylton (90+6')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Northampton
0-1
Crawley

Horsfall (90+3')
Nichols (41')
Lynch (9'), Ashford (87')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Crawley
0-0
Northampton

Powell (83')

Connolly (90')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Crawley
4-0
Northampton
Ferguson (27'), Lubala (62'), Palmer (80'), Bloomfield (84')

McCormack (44'), Wharton (75')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Northampton
2-2
Crawley
Lines (15' pen.), McWilliams (64')
Williams (71')
Nathaniel-George (70'), Martin (95' og.)
Doherty (49')
rhs 2.0


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