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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields
Crawley Town

Northampton
1 - 0
Crawley

Sowerby (79')
Hoskins (70'), Guthrie (74'), Lintott (90+6')
McGowan (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mason (23'), Lynch (39'), Addai (45+2'), Oteh (60'), Gordon (71')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Northampton
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-0 Crawley
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCrawley Town
56.9% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 23.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 19.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 49.57% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)50.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (0.004999999999999 0)72.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)17.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.08% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)47.92% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)39.95% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4%76.6%
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 56.9%
    Crawley Town 19.6%
    Draw 23.49%
Northampton TownDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 56.9%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.4% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.94%
1-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 19.6%

How you voted: Northampton vs Crawley

Northampton Town
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Crawley Town
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Crawley
2-3
Northampton
Balagizi (4', 61')
Hoskins (13', 23'), Bowie (90+2')
Hylton (90+6')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Northampton
2-2
Crawley
Lines (15' pen.), McWilliams (64')
Williams (71')
Nathaniel-George (70'), Martin (95' og.)
Doherty (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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