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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Northampton Town

Harrogate
1 - 1
Northampton

Armstrong (50')
Olaigbe (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pinnock (49')
Yengi (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Northampton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-2 Northampton Town

Nobody will argue against the fact that Northampton come into the game stronger on paper; their league form more than supports such an idea, and the consistency and confidence of Brady's coaching has given much hope to the Cobblers' dreams of promotion. However, coming up against an inspired Harrogate team bountiful with goals in recent weeks may prove a challenge too difficult to overcome away from home. An even, competitive match full of risk-taking and high-pace counter-attacks will see a score draw at Wetherby Road this weekend, and expect goals from the in-form Luke Armstrong and Sam Hoskins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNorthampton Town
24.69% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.21% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 50.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02)51.79% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.019000000000002 0.02)73.56% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (0.016999999999996 0.02)20.69% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (0.029000000000003 0.03)53.28% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 24.69%
    Northampton Town 50.1%
    Draw 25.2%
Harrogate TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.66%
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 24.69%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 11.68%
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 9.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 4.83% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.95% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 50.1%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Northampton

Harrogate Town
21.7%
Draw
17.4%
Northampton Town
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Harrogate
1-2
Northampton
Diamond (24')
Burrell (51')
Horsfall (7'), Guthrie (49')
McGowan (55'), Rose (69'), Sowerby (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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