League Two Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT CNG Stadium
  • Luke Armstrong 50' goal
  • goal Mitchell Pinnock 49'

Harrogate Town vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
Swindon 3 - 0 Harrogate
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Luke Armstrong

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
Colchester 0 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Sam Hoskins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Harrogate Town 24.69% (-0.02)
Draw 25.21% (-0.01)
Northampton Town 50.1% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.89% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.2% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 51.79% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 26.44% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 73.56% (-0.02)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5 64.16% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 35.83% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 27.39% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 72.61% (+0.01)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 79.31% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 20.69% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 46.71% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 53.28% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Harrogate Town 24.69%
Draw 25.2%
Northampton Town 50.1%
Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.15% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.66%
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 24.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.2%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 11.68%
1-2 @ 9.44% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.2% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.96% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.83% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.95% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.9% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 50.1%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sam Hoskins 28' goal
  • Louis Appere 59' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 63' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Austerfield 45'
  • yellowcard Warren Burrell 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 21
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jack Diamond 24' goal
  • Warren Burrell 51' yellowcard
  • goal Fraser Horsfall 7'
  • goal Jon Guthrie 49'
  • yellowcard Aaron McGowan 55'
  • yellowcard Danny Rose 69'
  • yellowcard Jack Sowerby 83'

Build-up

Match Preview