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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 24.69% ( | 25.21% ( | 50.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.2% ( | 51.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% ( | 73.56% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.16% ( | 35.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.39% ( | 72.61% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( | 20.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.71% ( | 53.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 2-1 @ 6.15% ( 2-0 @ 3.9% ( 3-1 @ 2.1% ( 3-2 @ 1.66% 3-0 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 24.69% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 11.68% 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0-2 @ 9.2% ( 1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0-3 @ 4.83% ( 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0-4 @ 1.9% ( 2-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 50.1% |