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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
24.69% ( -0.02) | 25.21% ( -0.01) | 50.1% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.89% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.2% ( 0.02) | 51.79% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.44% ( 0.02) | 73.56% ( -0.02) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.16% ( -0) | 35.83% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.39% ( -0) | 72.61% ( 0) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.31% ( 0.02) | 20.69% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.71% ( 0.03) | 53.28% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.66% 3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 24.69% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 11.68% 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 50.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
2 | Port Vale | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 31 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
7 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Chesterfield | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
10 | Gillingham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
12 | Salford City | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Bromley | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |