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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Northampton Town

Harrogate
1 - 1
Northampton

Armstrong (50')
Olaigbe (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pinnock (49')
Yengi (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Northampton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-2 Northampton Town

Nobody will argue against the fact that Northampton come into the game stronger on paper; their league form more than supports such an idea, and the consistency and confidence of Brady's coaching has given much hope to the Cobblers' dreams of promotion. However, coming up against an inspired Harrogate team bountiful with goals in recent weeks may prove a challenge too difficult to overcome away from home. An even, competitive match full of risk-taking and high-pace counter-attacks will see a score draw at Wetherby Road this weekend, and expect goals from the in-form Luke Armstrong and Sam Hoskins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNorthampton Town
24.69% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.21% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 50.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02)51.79% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.019000000000002 0.02)73.56% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (0.016999999999996 0.02)20.69% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (0.029000000000003 0.03)53.28% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 24.69%
    Northampton Town 50.1%
    Draw 25.2%
Harrogate TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.66%
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 24.69%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 11.68%
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 9.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 4.83% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.95% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 50.1%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Northampton

Harrogate Town
21.7%
Draw
17.4%
Northampton Town
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Harrogate
1-2
Northampton
Diamond (24')
Burrell (51')
Horsfall (7'), Guthrie (49')
McGowan (55'), Rose (69'), Sowerby (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Mansfield TownMansfield392013679374273
2Stockport CountyStockport382011775403571
3Wrexham392010970482270
4MK Dons40207136354967
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe3918111067551265
6BarrowBarrow381713853401364
7Crawley TownCrawley38185155754359
8Gillingham40178153947-859
9AFC Wimbledon4015131253421158
10Walsall381511125752556
11Newport CountyNewport39167165859-155
12Morecambe39159155968-954
13Harrogate TownHarrogate39159154655-954
14Notts County39156187674251
15Tranmere RoversTranmere40155205957250
16Accrington StanleyAccrington39148175257-550
17Bradford CityBradford391311154653-750
18Doncaster RoversDoncaster38147175162-1149
19Salford City401211176073-1347
20Swindon TownSwindon391111176570-544
21Grimsby Town38815154965-1639
22Colchester UnitedColchester37810194766-1934
23Sutton UnitedSutton40712214571-2633
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3989223865-2733


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