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Championship header 2

League Two

Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Northampton Town

Colchester
0 - 1
Northampton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Appere (41')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Colchester United and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, February 18 at 2pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Northampton Town in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
30.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)42.03% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.35% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)58.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)79.2% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)35.12% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.13% (0.010999999999999 0.01)71.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.95% (0.0010000000000048 0)63.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 30.13%
    Northampton Town 42.03%
    Draw 27.84%
Colchester UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 30.13%
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 9.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.84%
0-1 @ 12.47%
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-2 @ 8.04% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.62%
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.17%
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 42.03%

Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Northampton
3-2
Colchester
Hoskins (27', 74' pen.), Haynes (89')
McWilliams (55')
Sears (42' pen.), Chilvers (79')
Hannant (72'), Coxe (73'), Nouble (76'), Chilvers (83')
Feb 19, 2022 2pm
Northampton
3-0
Colchester
Horsfall (16'), Hoskins (49'), Ashley-Seal (90+4')

Judge (35')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Colchester
0-1
Northampton
Guthrie (22')
Pinnock (31'), Hoskins (75'), McWilliams (90+3')
Horsfall (84')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Northampton
P-P
Colchester
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Colchester
1-0
Northampton
Norris (66' pen.)

Lines (33'), Bunney (37')