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Championship header 2

League Two

Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 27
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Crawley
1 - 1
Doncaster

Khaleel (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavery (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Doncaster
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
43.39% (0.463 0.46)26.54% (-0.142 -0.14)30.07% (-0.318 -0.32)
Both teams to score 50.8% (0.284 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.19% (0.433 0.43)53.81% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.72% (0.363 0.36)75.28% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (0.43000000000001 0.43)24.61% (-0.425 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88% (0.595 0.59)59.12% (-0.59 -0.59)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)69.16% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 43.39%
    Doncaster Rovers 30.07%
    Draw 26.53%
Crawley TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 11.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 43.39%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.155 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.07%

How you voted: Crawley vs Doncaster

Crawley Town
49.0%
Draw
22.4%
Doncaster Rovers
28.6%
49
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Doncaster
4-1
Crawley
Olowu (40'), Miller (59' pen., 67'), Hurst (83')
Tilley (42')
Tilley (30')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Crawley
0-0
Doncaster

McNerney (54'), Smith (55'), Boldewijn (83'), Young (93')

Baudry (63'), Alcock (93')
Aug 13, 2016 3pm
Doncaster
1-1
Crawley
Coppinger (49')
Houghton (83')
Collins (26')
Davey (89'), Smith (92'), Blackman (95')
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
Crawley
0-5
Doncaster

Edwards (26'), Wordsworth (62')
Walsh (67')
Butler (38'), Wellens (56'), Tyson (64'), Forrester (73'), Main (91')
Stevens (20'), Tyson (67')
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
Doncaster
0-0
Crawley

Bennett (35')

Leacock (52'), Sadler (88')
rhs 2.0


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