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Championship header 2

League Two

Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Salford City
3 - 1
Doncaster

Bolton (12', 59'), Mallan (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Miller (14')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Salford City and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 4-3 Salford City
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in League Two

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawDoncaster Rovers
53.46% (0.012 0.01)24.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)22.35% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)49.81% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (0.012 0.01)71.81% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)18.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.17% (0.016999999999996 0.02)49.82% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)36.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 53.46%
    Doncaster Rovers 22.35%
    Draw 24.18%
Salford CityDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 11.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 53.46%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.18%
0-1 @ 6.83% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 22.35%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Doncaster
2-1
Salford City
Hurst (45+1', 63')
Thomas-Asante (10')
Hendry (41'), Lund (44'), Watt (90+9')