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Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Salford City

Crewe
4 - 3
Salford City

Agyei (31' pen., 90'), Tabiner (40'), O'Riordan (87')
Finnigan (90+7'), Agyei (90+1'), Finnigan (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Barry (19'), Hendry (45'), Mallan (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Newport
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Salford City

While Crewe have picked up four points from their last four home games, Salford have accumulated the same number of points from their last four away matches, and a closely-fought contest between the two sides could be on the cards on Friday. Nevertheless, Salford will be regarded as favourites to come out on top, and they should have enough quality in the final third to breach Crewe's backline to claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawSalford City
24.77% (-0.367 -0.37) 25.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 50.09% (0.425 0.42)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.6% (-0.055 -0.05)51.4% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)73.21% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (-0.34700000000001 -0.35)35.54% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (-0.36 -0.36)72.31% (0.357 0.36)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (0.155 0.16)20.53% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (0.247 0.25)53.03% (-0.248 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 24.77%
    Salford City 50.09%
    Draw 25.13%
Crewe AlexandraDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.18% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.13% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.77%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 11.55% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.15% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.83% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.98% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.91% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 50.09%

How you voted: Crewe vs Salford City

Crewe Alexandra
26.9%
Draw
19.2%
Salford City
53.8%
26
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Salford City
3-0
Crewe
McAleny (17'), Thomas-Asante (50', 53')
Nartey (14'), Watt (44')

Mellor (29'), Baker-Richardson (90+2')
Sambou (31')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Salford City
3-1
Crewe
Towell (7'), Thomas-Asante (12'), Wintle (85' og.)
Jones (14'), Neal (40'), Touray (44')
Ng (82')
Powell (45')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Crewe
4-1
Salford City
Porter (50'), Lowery (57', 82'), Pickering (62')
Rooney (39')
Hughes (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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