Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two

Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Northampton Town

Hartlepool
1 - 1
Northampton

Umerah (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hoskins (81')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
19.74% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)24.11% (0.051000000000002 0.05)56.15% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.99% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.51% (-0.236 -0.24)52.49% (0.236 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.84% (-0.203 -0.2)74.16% (0.20100000000001 0.2)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.92% (-0.175 -0.18)41.08% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.37% (-0.157 -0.16)77.63% (0.155 0.16)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (-0.095000000000013 -0.1)18.55% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (-0.16 -0.16)49.8% (0.159 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 19.74%
    Northampton Town 56.14%
    Draw 24.1%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 6.78% (0.031 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.02%
3-1 @ 1.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 19.74%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 12.83% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 10.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.62% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 5.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 56.14%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Northampton
2-1
Hartlepool
Magloire (31'), Appere (57')
Pinnock (39'), Hoskins (58'), Haynes (90+3')
Umerah (45+4')
Menayese (52'), Lacey (58'), Crawford (76')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Hartlepool
Hoskins (6'), Zimba (61')
Mills (29')

Liddle (14'), Bogle (82'), Featherstone (90+1')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Hartlepool
2-1
Northampton
Ferguson (53'), Molyneux (83')
Ferguson (56')
Hoskins (51')
Hoskins (66'), McGowan (79')
Feb 27, 2016 3pm
Hartlepool
0-0
Northampton

Magnay (67'), Walker (86')

Moloney (60'), Diamond (85')
Oct 10, 2015 3pm
Northampton
2-1
Hartlepool
Richards (4'), Cresswell (21')
Calvert-Lewin (82')
Bingham (31')
Oates (39'), Smith (61'), Oyenuga (77')