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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Walsall |
| 31.61% ( | 27.89% ( | 40.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.61% ( | 58.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.01% ( | 78.99% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.11% ( | 33.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.44% ( | 70.56% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% ( | 28.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.03% ( | 63.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Walsall |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 2-0 @ 5.61% ( 3-1 @ 2.56% ( 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 3-2 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.61% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0-0 @ 9.58% ( 2-2 @ 4.48% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 12.1% ( 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0-2 @ 7.65% ( 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0-3 @ 3.22% ( 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.76% Total : 40.5% |