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Championship header 2

League Two

Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Leyton Orient

Hartlepool
1 - 1
Leyton Orient

Jennings (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smyth (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League Two

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-2 Colchester
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawLeyton Orient
26.18% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)25.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.04% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.09% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)52.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.48% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)74.51% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)35.16% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08% (-0.023 -0.02)71.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 26.18%
    Leyton Orient 48.03%
    Draw 25.77%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 8.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 6.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 26.18%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 11.71%
1-2 @ 9.26%
0-2 @ 8.86% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.69%
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 48.03%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Leyton Orient

Hartlepool United
36.4%
Draw
13.6%
Leyton Orient
50.0%
22
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Leyton Orient
4-2
Hartlepool
Moncur (4' pen.), Kelman (38'), Smyth (48'), Sotiriou (74')
Smyth (40'), Hunt (79'), Kelman (90')
McDonald (32'), Umerah (70' pen.)
Murray (3'), Umerah (45+1'), Crawford (73')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Hartlepool
0-0
Leyton Orient

Kyprianou (16'), Beckles (45+2'), Sotiriou (79')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Leyton Orient
5-0
Hartlepool
Drinan (20', 84', 90+6'), Smith (35'), James (56')
Pratley (14'), Clay (29')

Featherstone (23'), Holohan (39')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Hartlepool
1-1
Leyton Orient
Kabamba (45')
Molyneux (40'), Donaldson (90')
McAnuff (22')
Widdowson (58'), McAnuff (76')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Leyton Orient
0-0
Hartlepool

Judd (50'), Dayton (59'), McAnuff (64')
Widdowson (59')

Kioso (25'), Magnay (59'), Woods (64'), Davies (75')