League Two Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Connor Jennings 88' goal
  • Oliver Finney 90'+4' goal
  • goal Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 4'

Hartlepool United vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
Hartlepool 1 - 1 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Josh Umerah

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
Swindon 0 - 1 Stockport
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Jonny Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Hartlepool United 29.35% (-0.46)
Draw 25.34% (-0.02)
Swindon Town 45.31% (+0.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.16% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.73% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 49.27% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 28.67% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 71.32% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 13.76% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 86.23% (+0.10)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 69.2% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 30.79% (+0.41)
Over 1.5 32.93% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 67.07% (+0.48)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.26% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 21.74% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 45.09% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 54.91% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Hartlepool United 29.35%
Draw 25.34%
Swindon Town 45.3%
Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.09% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.64% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.69% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.34%
Swindon Town
0-1 @ 10.21% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 9.18% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.8% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 4.67% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.97% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.51% (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 45.3%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jonny Williams 12' goal
  • Luke Jephcott 17' goal
  • goal Clark Odour 28'
League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Ferguson 26' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ellis Iandolo 36'
  • goal Harry McKirdy 40'
  • goal Harry McKirdy 55'
  • goal Mathieu Baudry 85'
League Two Gameweek 18
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonny Williams 52' goal
  • Harry McKirdy 59' yellowcard
  • Tyreece Simpson 69' goal
  • Jack Payne 90'+4' goal
  • goal Matty Daly 61'
League One
Feb 9, 2013 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Simon Ferry 15' goal
  • Gary Roberts 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Collins 68'
  • goal Andy Monkhouse 74'
  • yellowcard Scott Flinders 90'
League One
Aug 18, 2012 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Alan McCormack 51'
League One
Apr 2, 2011 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Matty Ritchie 67' goal
  • goal Evan Horwood 37'
  • redcard Gary Liddle 54'
  • yellowcard Andy Monkhouse 65'
  • yellowcard Leon McSweeney 77'