League Two

League Two | Gameweek 39

Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK

Victoria Park

Hartlepool
2 - 1
Swindon

Jennings (88'), Finney (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hepburn-Murphy (4')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Stockport
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Swindon Town
29.35% ( -0.45)	25.34% ( -0.02)	45.31% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 54.16% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.73% (

-0.15)

49.27% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.67% (

-0.14)

71.32% (

0.14)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.2% (

-0.41)

30.79% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.93% (

-0.48)

67.07% (

0.48)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.26% (

0.15)

21.74% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.09% (

0.23)

54.91% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 29.35%

Swindon Town 45.3%

Draw 25.34%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.35%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.3%