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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Stockport County

Swindon
0 - 1
Stockport


Morris (2'), Hepburn-Murphy (3'), Brynn (60'), Williams (62')
Wakeling (1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Croasdale (80')
Rydel (45+4'), Lewis (48'), Knoyle (49'), Lemonheigh-Evans (64'), Wootton (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 4-4 Swindon
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

Stockport County

All competitions
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Stockport County

 Neither side is in great form, and both need a win as a draw will not do them many favours in reaching their desired targets. However, it is tough to separate the sides, and despite scoring four at Rochdale last week, Swindon, like Stockport, have not been overly prolific recently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawStockport County
37.34%25.49%37.17%
Both teams to score 56.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.11%47.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94%70.06%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9%25.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2%59.8%
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81%25.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08%59.92%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 37.34%
    Stockport County 37.17%
    Draw 25.49%
Swindon TownDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 0.96%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.34%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 6.32%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.72%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 3.82%
0-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.64%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 0.95%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 37.17%

How you voted: Swindon vs Stockport

Swindon Town
62.5%
Draw
18.8%
Stockport County
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Stockport
4-0
Swindon
Sarcevic (11', 29'), Wright (16'), Rydel (58')

Khan (1')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Stockport
1-1
Swindon
Sarcevic (84')
Brown (52'), Jennings (66')
Madden (80')
Blake-Tracy (49')
Blake-Tracy (50'), Reed (70')
Feb 23, 2010 3pm
Swindon
4-1
Stockport
Ferry (74'), Ward (4'), Paynter (45', 79')
Morrison (66')
Tansey (45')
Jan 19, 2010 3pm
Stockport
0-1
Swindon

Pilkington (72'), Swailes (90'), Rose (90')
Paynter (73' pen.)
Jan 13, 2009 3pm
Swindon
1-1
Stockport
Smith (62')
Timlin (21')
Pilkington (73')
McNulty (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
> League Two Full Table


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