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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Stockport County

Swindon
0 - 1
Stockport


Morris (2'), Hepburn-Murphy (3'), Brynn (60'), Williams (62')
Wakeling (1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Croasdale (80')
Rydel (45+4'), Lewis (48'), Knoyle (49'), Lemonheigh-Evans (64'), Wootton (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 4-4 Swindon
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

Stockport County

All competitions
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Stockport County

 Neither side is in great form, and both need a win as a draw will not do them many favours in reaching their desired targets. However, it is tough to separate the sides, and despite scoring four at Rochdale last week, Swindon, like Stockport, have not been overly prolific recently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawStockport County
37.34%25.49%37.17%
Both teams to score 56.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.11%47.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94%70.06%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9%25.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2%59.8%
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81%25.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08%59.92%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 37.34%
    Stockport County 37.17%
    Draw 25.49%
Swindon TownDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 0.96%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.34%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 6.32%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.72%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 3.82%
0-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.64%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 0.95%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 37.17%

How you voted: Swindon vs Stockport

Swindon Town
62.5%
Draw
18.8%
Stockport County
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Stockport
4-0
Swindon
Sarcevic (11', 29'), Wright (16'), Rydel (58')

Khan (1')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Stockport
1-1
Swindon
Sarcevic (84')
Brown (52'), Jennings (66')
Madden (80')
Blake-Tracy (49')
Blake-Tracy (50'), Reed (70')
Feb 23, 2010 3pm
Swindon
4-1
Stockport
Ferry (74'), Ward (4'), Paynter (45', 79')
Morrison (66')
Tansey (45')
Jan 19, 2010 3pm
Stockport
0-1
Swindon

Pilkington (72'), Swailes (90'), Rose (90')
Paynter (73' pen.)
Jan 13, 2009 3pm
Swindon
1-1
Stockport
Smith (62')
Timlin (21')
Pilkington (73')
McNulty (63')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539
> League Two Full Table


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