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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Gillingham |
59.65% ( -1.78) | 24.55% ( 1.05) | 15.8% ( 0.74) |
Both teams to score 40.17% ( -1.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.78% ( -2.42) | 59.22% ( 2.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.36% ( -1.91) | 79.64% ( 1.91) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.2% ( -1.59) | 19.79% ( 1.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.14% ( -2.64) | 51.86% ( 2.64) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.08% ( -0.42) | 49.92% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.4% ( -0.29) | 84.6% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 16% ( 0.65) 2-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 7% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.36) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.64% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.87) 2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.42% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.69% Total : 15.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
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