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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 44.36% ( | 27.21% ( | 28.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.94% ( | 57.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.06% ( | 77.94% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% ( | 25.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.54% ( | 60.45% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.42% ( | 35.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.65% ( | 72.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 4-0 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 44.35% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.02% Total : 28.43% |