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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 48.68%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Walsall win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Walsall |
| 48.68% ( | 27.03% ( | 24.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.21% ( | 58.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.69% ( | 79.31% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( | 24.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.38% ( | 58.62% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.92% ( | 40.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.27% ( | 76.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Walsall |
| 1-0 @ 13.77% ( 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 4-1 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 48.68% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 9.72% ( 2-2 @ 4.08% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0-2 @ 4.06% ( 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.35% Total : 24.29% |