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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 48.68%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Walsall win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Walsall |
48.68% ( 0.05) | 27.03% ( -0.01) | 24.29% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 45.38% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.21% ( 0.01) | 58.79% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.69% ( 0) | 79.31% ( -0) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.74% ( 0.02) | 24.26% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.38% ( 0.03) | 58.62% ( -0.03) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.92% ( -0.03) | 40.08% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.27% ( -0.03) | 76.73% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 48.68% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 9.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 24.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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