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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 39.17% ( | 28.31% ( | 32.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.32% ( | 59.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.01% ( | 79.99% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% ( | 29.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.31% ( | 65.69% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.09% ( | 33.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% ( | 70.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% ( 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.54% Total : 39.16% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.05% ( 2-2 @ 4.35% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 10.87% ( 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 2-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.52% |