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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 24.13% | 27.21% | 48.66% |
| Both teams to score 44.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.47% | 59.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.12% | 79.88% |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.35% | 40.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.76% | 77.24% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% | 24.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.91% | 59.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9% 2-1 @ 5.68% 2-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.22% 3-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.28% Total : 24.13% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 10% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 14.02% 0-2 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-3 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.61% 1-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.28% Total : 48.66% |