Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.