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Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields
Mansfield Town

Northampton
1 - 0
Mansfield

Hoskins (28' pen.)
J (5'), Haynes (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wallace (4'), Pym (27'), Law (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Northampton Town 1-2 Mansfield Town

Even with their treatment room nearing full capacity, Mansfield's continued commitment to attacking has been admirable, and Northampton's resistance should prove futile at a ground where success has often eluded them in recent times. Also working around jellied legs and their own injury crisis, Tuesday's recipe is seemingly one for defeat for Brady's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
31.82% (-1.192 -1.19) 28.09% (0.149 0.15) 40.08% (1.042 1.04)
Both teams to score 46.93% (-0.732 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)59.05% (0.772 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49% (-0.601 -0.6)79.51% (0.59899999999999 0.6)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-1.242 -1.24)34.08% (1.24 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-1.358 -1.36)70.76% (1.356 1.36)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19% (0.22500000000001 0.23)28.81% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (0.279 0.28)64.66% (-0.28 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 31.83%
    Mansfield Town 40.07%
    Draw 28.09%
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.08% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 31.83%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.82% (0.283 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.115 -0.11)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 12.21% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.6% (0.311 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.148 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 40.07%

How you voted: Northampton vs Mansfield

Northampton Town
43.5%
Draw
21.7%
Mansfield Town
34.8%
23
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
May 18, 2022 7.45pm
May 14, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Northampton
Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Mansfield
McGowan (23'), Horsfall (74')
Etete (24'), Horsfall (75')

Charsley (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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