Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two

Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields
Crewe Alexandra

Northampton
1 - 0
Crewe

Appere (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Mansfield
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Crewe
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
57.39% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)24.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.22% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54%55.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (0.00099999999999767 0)76.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)19.21% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.1% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)50.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.44% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)44.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)80.58% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 57.38%
    Crewe Alexandra 18.22%
    Draw 24.39%
Northampton TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 14.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 57.38%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 8.56%
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 18.22%

How you voted: Northampton vs Crewe

Northampton Town
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Crewe Alexandra
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Crewe
2-2
Northampton
Baker-Richardson (26', 41')
Mellor (63'), Agyei (90+5')
Hoskins (43', 90+7')
Hoskins (41'), McWilliams (83'), Burge (90+5')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Northampton
0-1
Crewe

McWilliams (47')
Dale (74')
Murphy (45'), Beckles (45+2')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Crewe
2-1
Northampton
Dale (53'), Wintle (90+4')
Pickering (83')
Holmes (3')
Bolger (15'), Martin (26')
Martin (70')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Crewe
P-P
Northampton
Nov 16, 2019 3pm
Northampton
4-1
Crewe
Wharton (10', 18'), Hoskins (24' pen.), Williams (56')
Pollock (98')
Porter (37')
Mbulu (81')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!