Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 68.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
68.93% ( 4.63) | 19.67% ( -1.84) | 11.4% ( -2.79) |
Both teams to score 42.44% ( -2.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.34% ( 1.28) | 49.66% ( -1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.32% ( 1.13) | 71.68% ( -1.13) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.66% ( 1.83) | 13.33% ( -1.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.8% ( 3.58) | 40.2% ( -3.58) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.97% ( -3.8) | 51.02% ( 3.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.64% ( -2.7) | 85.35% ( 2.7) |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-0 @ 13.81% ( 1.07) 1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 9.28% ( 1.27) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.9) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.46) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 68.93% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.91) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.46) Other @ 0.51% Total : 19.67% | 0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.8) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.7) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.48) Other @ 2.18% Total : 11.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |