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Championship header 2

League Two
Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Stevenage
1 - 0
Crewe

Reid (79')
Reeves (52'), Rose (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 4-3 Salford City
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 3-1 Crewe Alexandra

 Stevenage are the more likely side to dominate large proportions of this match and will attempt to dictate play inside their opponents' half. We believe that this game will be littered with goals due to both sides' recent record of goals conceded, but Stevenage will score more than their opponents due to being the superior attacking side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 68.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawCrewe Alexandra
68.93% (4.626 4.63) 19.67% (-1.835 -1.84) 11.4% (-2.793 -2.79)
Both teams to score 42.44% (-2.324 -2.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (1.276 1.28)49.66% (-1.278 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32% (1.132 1.13)71.68% (-1.134 -1.13)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.66% (1.834 1.83)13.33% (-1.837 -1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.8% (3.576 3.58)40.2% (-3.578 -3.58)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.97% (-3.799 -3.8)51.02% (3.798 3.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.64% (-2.702 -2.7)85.35% (2.699 2.7)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 68.93%
    Crewe Alexandra 11.4%
    Draw 19.67%
StevenageDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 13.81% (1.07 1.07)
1-0 @ 13.7% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-0 @ 9.28% (1.267 1.27)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.233 0.23)
4-0 @ 4.67% (0.897 0.9)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.311 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.154 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.88% (0.459 0.46)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.198 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 68.93%
1-1 @ 9.22% (-0.907 -0.91)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.459 -0.46)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.67%
0-1 @ 4.58% (-0.797 -0.8)
1-2 @ 3.1% (-0.699 -0.7)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.476 -0.48)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 11.4%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Crewe

Stevenage
82.8%
Draw
10.3%
Crewe Alexandra
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Crewe
1-2
Stevenage
McDonald (27')
King (41'), Thomas (76'), Baker-Richardson (82')
Reid (48', 67')
Sweeney (37'), Reeves (85')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Crewe
3-1
Stevenage
Porter (15'), Kirk (63'), Wintle (67')
Carter (90')
Lakin (57'), Mackail-Smith (75')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Stevenage
1-5
Crewe
Cuthbert (84')
Cuthbert (28'), Sonupe (91')
Anene (29', 65'), Finney (32'), Powell (57'), Cuthbert (70' og.)
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Crewe
1-0
Stevenage
Porter (21' pen.)
Ray (60')

Guthrie (74'), Kennedy (79')
Reid (79')
Oct 20, 2018 3pm
Stevenage
0-1
Crewe

Nugent (12')
Bowery (61')
Ainley (14'), Jones (64'), Kirk (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
> League Two Full Table


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