League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park

Carlisle United vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
Swindon 1 - 2 Carlisle
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Kristian Dennis

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Stevenage 1 - 0 Crewe
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Jordan Roberts

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Carlisle United 40.29% (+0.09)
Draw 27.7% (+0.01)
Stevenage 32.01% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.1% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.39% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 57.61% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.62% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 78.38% (+0.03)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 72% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 28% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 36.35% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 63.65% (-0.05)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 66.8% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 33.2% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 30.2% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 69.8% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 40.28%
Draw 27.7%
Stevenage 32.01%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.83% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.3% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.53% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.52% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 40.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.3% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.7%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 10.25% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.65% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 32.01%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Kane Smith 16' goal
  • Max Clark 42' goal
  • Luke Norris 89' yellowcard
  • Taye Ashby-Hammond 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Kristian Dennis 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Jayden Harris 69'
League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Riley 52' goal
  • Lewis Alessandra 63' goal
  • yellowcard Jake Taylor 33'
  • goal Luke Norris 88'
League Two Gameweek 21
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luther Wildin 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kelvin Mellor 7'
  • goal Jon Mellish 45'
  • goal Jordan Gibson 65'
League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 20, 2021 1.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Tom Pett 23' goal
  • Luke Norris 60' goal
  • Chris Lines 64' yellowcard
  • Arthur Read 71' goal
  • redcard Rodney McDonald 18'
  • yellowcard Callum Guy 45'+2'
  • yellowcard George Tanner 45'+2'
  • goal Brennan Dickenson 55'
League Two Gameweek 17
Dec 12, 2020 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Nick Anderton 10' goal
  • Joshua Kayode 20' goal
  • Lewis Alessandra 34' goal
  • Joe Riley 73' goal
  • yellowcard Romain Vincelot 43'
  • yellowcard Luke Prosser 44'
  • redcard Luke Prosser 74'
League Two Gameweek 46
Apr 25, 2020 3.00pm
Brunton Park