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Championship header 2

League Two

Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Stevenage

Carlisle
0 - 0
Stevenage

FT
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Stevenage.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Carlisle
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

Stevenage

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Crewe
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawStevenage
40.29% (0.088999999999999 0.09)27.7% (0.004999999999999 0)32.01% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Both teams to score 48.1% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)57.61% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)78.38% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (0.033000000000001 0.03)28% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (0.040999999999997 0.04)63.65% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)33.2% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2% (-0.093 -0.09)69.8% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 40.28%
    Stevenage 32.01%
    Draw 27.7%
Carlisle UnitedDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 11.83% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.3% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.3% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 10.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.65% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 32.01%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Stevenage

Carlisle United
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Stevenage
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Stevenage
2-1
Carlisle
Smith (16'), Clark (42')
Norris (89'), Ashby-Hammond (90+2')
Dennis (45+2')
Harris (69')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Stevenage
Riley (52'), Alessandra (63')
Norris (88' pen.)
Taylor (33')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
0-2
Carlisle

Wildin (72')
Mellish (45'), Gibson (65' pen.)
Mellor (7')
Mar 20, 2021 1pm
Stevenage
3-1
Carlisle
Pett (23'), Norris (60'), Read (71')
Lines (64')
Dickenson (55')
Guy (45+2'), Tanner (45+2')
McDonald (18')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
4-0
Stevenage
Anderton (10'), Kayode (20'), Alessandra (34'), Riley (73')

Vincelot (43'), Prosser (44')
Prosser (74')