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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Colchester United |
| 54.72% ( | 25.25% | 20.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.6% ( | 56.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.59% | 77.41% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.37% ( | 20.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.82% | 53.18% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.97% ( | 43.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.69% ( | 79.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 14% ( 2-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 4.91% 4-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.29% Total : 54.7% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.9% Total : 20.03% |