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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Newport County |
| 32.86% ( | 28.17% ( | 38.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.87% ( | 59.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.43% ( | 79.58% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.61% ( | 33.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.98% ( | 70.03% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( | 29.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% ( | 65.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% ( 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 3-2 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.85% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0-0 @ 9.85% ( 2-2 @ 4.42% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 12.02% ( 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( 0-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.58% Total : 38.97% |