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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 36.1% ( | 28.07% ( | 35.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.51% ( | 58.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.93% ( | 79.07% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% ( | 30.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.79% ( | 67.21% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% ( | 31.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.59% ( | 67.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% ( 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.1% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0-0 @ 9.61% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.06% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 1-3 @ 3% ( 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 2-3 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.84% |