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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
| 39.04% ( | 28.05% ( | 32.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.31% ( | 58.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.77% ( | 79.23% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( | 29.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( | 65.19% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% ( | 33.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.27% ( | 69.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% ( 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3% ( 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.62% Total : 39.04% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 2-2 @ 4.47% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 2-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.91% |