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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 39.43% ( | 28.44% ( | 32.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.8% ( | 60.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.61% ( | 80.39% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% ( | 29.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.18% ( | 65.82% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% ( | 34.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.82% ( | 71.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% ( 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.51% Total : 39.43% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.25% ( 2-2 @ 4.28% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.43% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 2-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 32.13% |