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Championship header 2

League Two

Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Barrow
2 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Canavan (61'), Gordon (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jenkins (5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 44%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawAFC Wimbledon
44%29.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)26.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 41.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35% (0.0030000000000001 0)65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.11% (0.0019999999999989 0)83.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.44% (0.0019999999999953 0)65.56% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)41.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.01% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 44%
    AFC Wimbledon 26.61%
    Draw 29.37%
BarrowDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 14.95%
2-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 8.02%
3-0 @ 3.71%
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.13%
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 44%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 12.26%
2-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.37%
0-1 @ 10.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 26.61%

How you voted: Barrow vs AFC Wimbledon

Barrow
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
AFC Wimbledon
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Barrow

Marsh (30'), Brown (54')
Gordon (10')
Foley (31'), Gordon (41')
Nov 26, 2020 7.45pm
First Round
Barrow
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
 AFC Wimbledon win 4-2 on penalties

Gribbin (40'), Hird (57'), Kay (90+5')

Nightingale (35'), Palmer (57'), Guinness-Walker (83')