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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Harrogate Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 37.08% ( | 27.59% ( | 35.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.28% ( | 56.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.33% ( | 77.67% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( | 29.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.56% ( | 65.44% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.48% ( | 30.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.26% ( | 66.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 2-0 @ 6.72% ( 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 4-1 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.07% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 2-2 @ 4.73% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-2 @ 6.33% ( 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.33% |