League Two

League Two | Gameweek 41

Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 3
Salford City

McAteer (7'), Al-Hamadi (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McAleny (55'), Hendry (90+5', 90+6')

Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 2-2 AFC Wimbledon
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salford City

All competitions

Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Leyton Orient
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Salford City
29.85% ( -0.2)	25.7% ( -0)	44.45% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 53.3% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.48% (

-0.09)

50.52% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.56% (

-0.08)

72.44% (

0.08)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92% (

-0.19)

31.08% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.6% (

-0.22)

67.4% (

0.22)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.33% (

0.06)

22.67% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.69% (

0.08)

56.31% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 29.85%

Salford City 44.44%

Draw 25.69%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Salford City
1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.85%	1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.15% Total : 44.44%