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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Salford City |
49.72% ( 0.52) | 24.8% ( -0.1) | 25.48% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 52.93% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.51% ( 0.09) | 49.48% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.48% ( 0.08) | 71.52% ( -0.08) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.08% ( 0.25) | 19.92% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.94% ( 0.41) | 52.06% ( -0.41) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.09% ( -0.3) | 33.91% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.42% ( -0.32) | 70.58% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 49.72% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.27% Total : 25.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
2 | Port Vale | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 31 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
7 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Chesterfield | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
10 | Gillingham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
12 | Salford City | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Bromley | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |