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Championship header 2

League Two

AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Rochdale

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Rochdale

FT(HT: 0-0)
Lloyd (64')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Walsall
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawRochdale
44.52% (0.267 0.27)27.63% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)27.85% (-0.236 -0.24)
Both teams to score 46.44% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.2%58.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.68% (0.0019999999999989 0)79.32% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7% (0.136 0.14)26.3% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.58% (0.184 0.18)61.42% (-0.183 -0.18)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.01% (-0.191 -0.19)36.99% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.22% (-0.189 -0.19)73.77% (0.19 0.19)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 44.52%
    Rochdale 27.85%
    Draw 27.63%
AFC WimbledonDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 12.99% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.68% (0.067 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.84% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 44.52%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.73%
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 9.67% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 27.85%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Rochdale

AFC Wimbledon
100%
Draw
0.0%
Rochdale
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Rochdale
1-2
AFC Wimbledon
Sinclair (66')
Assal (39'), Davison (64')
Towler (20')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
AFC Wimbledon
3-3
Rochdale
Rudoni (61'), Palmer (66'), Pigott (90+7')
O'Neill (13')
Beesley (41'), Osho (57'), Keohane (73')
Done (71'), Osho (85'), Humphrys (90+3')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Rochdale
0-1
AFC Wimbledon
Chislett (90+2')
Hartigan (30'), McLoughlin (72')
Mar 24, 2020 7.45pm
Rochdale
P-P
AFC Wimbledon
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Rochdale
Forss (2'), Osew (16'), Pinnock (28')
Wordsworth (45')
Henderson (66', 95')
Wilbraham (70')
rhs 2.0


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