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Championship header 2

League Two

Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Swindon Town

Tranmere
1 - 0
Swindon

Saunders (22')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Tranmere
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 2-4 Mansfield
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawSwindon Town
39.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.05% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.69% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)52.02% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (0.012999999999998 0.01)73.75% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.78% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27% (0.00099999999999767 0)60.73% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (0.016000000000005 0.02)29.01% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (0.019999999999996 0.02)64.91% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 39.56%
    Swindon Town 34.05%
    Draw 26.37%
Tranmere RoversDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 10.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 39.56%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.2% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.05%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Swindon
1-1
Tranmere
Wakeling (30')
Hawkes (9')
Turnbull (34')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-0
Swindon
Hemmings (6', 72' pen.), Glatzel (58')
Davies (2')

Mitchell-Lawson (60'), Iandolo (85')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Swindon
0-0
Tranmere

McKirdy (53')

Davies (50'), Knight-Percival (87'), Murphy (90+5')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Tranmere
1-2
Swindon
Norwood (52')
Monthe (88'), Buxton (90')
Richards (20'), Doughty (36')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Swindon
3-2
Tranmere
Adebayo (20'), Richards (60'), Romanski (73')
McGlashan (43')
Smith (10'), Norwood (13')
Davies (41'), Banks (73')
Harris (18')