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Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Tranmere Rovers

Carlisle
2 - 0
Tranmere

Dennis (3', 39')
McCalmont (68'), Garner (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hemmings (61')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Tranmere Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Harrogate
Friday, March 31 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.73%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
47.73% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 26.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 25.29% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.37% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)57.97% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.33%78.67% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.35% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.26% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.28% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)38.72% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)75.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 47.72%
    Tranmere Rovers 25.29%
    Draw 26.98%
Carlisle UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 13.31%
2-0 @ 9.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.93%
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 47.72%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 25.29%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Carlisle
2-1
Tranmere
Gibson (30'), Harris (66')
Byrne (82')
Davies (50')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Tranmere
0-2
Carlisle
Dennis (1', 54')
Dennis (66')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Tranmere
2-2
Carlisle
Hemmings (15'), Nevitt (76')
Hemmings (43'), Davies (44'), Cogley (88'), Murphy (90+1'), Clarke (90+2')
MacDonald (40'), Morris (90+1')
Patrick (55'), Sho-Silva (90+7')
Simeu (43'), Feeney (43'), Mellor (64'), Mellish (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
0-1
Tranmere

Clough (37')
MacDonald (48' og.)
Hawkes (65'), Spearing (90+3')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Carlisle
2-3
Tranmere
Kayode (3'), Anderton (27')
Woolery (21'), Vaughan (43', 88')
Lewis (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
> League Two Full Table


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