League Two Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Kristian Dennis 3' goal
  • Kristian Dennis 39' goal

Carlisle United vs Tranmere Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
Leyton Orient 1 - 0 Carlisle
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Kristian Dennis

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Tranmere 1 - 1 Harrogate
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Josh Hawkes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.73%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result

Carlisle United 47.73% (+0.02)
Draw 26.99% (-0.01)
Tranmere Rovers 25.29% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.37% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.03% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 57.97% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 21.33%
Under 3.5 78.67% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 9.12% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 90.89%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 75.66% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.35% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 41.26% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 58.74% (-0.01)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 61.28% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 38.72% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 24.54% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 75.46% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 47.72%
Draw 26.98%
Tranmere Rovers 25.29%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 13.31%
2-0 @ 9.41% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.93%
3-0 @ 4.43% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.57% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 47.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.98%
Tranmere Rovers
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 25.29%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Jordan Gibson 30' goal
  • Jayden Harris 66' goal
  • goal Neil Byrne 82'
League Two Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Prenton Park
  • goal Kristian Dennis 1'
  • goal Kristian Dennis 54'
League Two Gameweek 40
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kane Hemmings 15' goal
  • Calum MacDonald 40' redcard
  • Kane Hemmings 43' yellowcard
  • Tom Davies 44' yellowcard
  • Elliott Nevitt 76' goal
  • Josh Cogley 88' yellowcard
  • Kieron Morris 90'+1' redcard
  • Joe Murphy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Peter Clarke 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dynel Simeu 43'
  • yellowcard Morgan Feeney 43'
  • goal Omari Patrick 55'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Mellor 64'
  • yellowcard Jon Mellish 90'+2'
  • goal Tobi Sho-Silva 90'+7'
League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Zach Clough 37' yellowcard
  • goal Calum MacDonald 48' (OG)
  • yellowcard Josh Hawkes 65'
  • yellowcard Jay Spearing 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 23, 2021 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Brunton Park
  • Joshua Kayode 3' goal
  • Nick Anderton 27' goal
  • yellowcard Paul Lewis 12'
  • goal Kaiyne Woolery 21'
  • goal James Vaughan 43'
  • goal James Vaughan 88'
League Two Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2020 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Prenton Park
  • Corey Taylor 51' goal
  • Emmanuel Monthe 54' yellowcard
  • Paul Lewis 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Hayden 67'