League Two Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Breyer Group Stadium
  • Jon Mellish 73' goal

Leyton Orient vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last game
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
Hartlepool 1 - 1 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Paul Smyth

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
Gillingham 1 - 0 Carlisle
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Kristian Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leyton Orient in this match.

Result

Leyton Orient 47.36% (+0.03)
Draw 27.3% (+0.01)
Carlisle United 25.34% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.55% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.96% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 59.04% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 20.5% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 79.5% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 8.62% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 91.37% (+0.01)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5 75% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.99% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.35% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.65% (-0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 60.73% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 39.26% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 24.02% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 75.97% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Leyton Orient 47.35%
Draw 27.3%
Carlisle United 25.34%
Leyton Orient
1-0 @ 13.6% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.43% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82%
3-0 @ 4.36% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 47.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.81% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.3%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 25.34%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Brunton Park
  • Ryan Edmondson 15' goal
  • Jordan Gibson 56' goal
  • goal Theo Archibald 2'
  • goal Theo Archibald 17'
  • goal Aaron Drinan 50'
League Two Gameweek 34
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Omar Beckles 10' yellowcard
  • Theo Archibald 48' yellowcard
  • Theo Archibald 50' redcard
  • goal Omari Patrick 5'
  • yellowcard Jack Armer 52'
  • yellowcard Joe Riley 58'
  • yellowcard Corey Whelan 70'
  • yellowcard Dynel Simeu 76'
League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tristan Abrahams 9' goal
  • yellowcard Jayden Sweeney 17'
  • yellowcard Harry Smith 55'
  • yellowcard Aaron Drinan 61'
  • yellowcard Hector Kyprianou 65'
  • goal Harry Smith 74'
  • yellowcard Craig Clay 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Matchroom Stadium
  • Conor Wilkinson 3' goal
  • Dan Happe 18' yellowcard
  • Dan Kemp 45'+3' goal
  • Louis Dennis 62' yellowcard
  • Craig Clay 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Mellish 42'
  • goal Lewis Alessandra 54'
  • yellowcard Ethan Walker 80'
  • yellowcard Jon Mellish 89'
  • goal George Tanner 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 23
Mar 23, 2021 6.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park
  • goal Conor Wilkinson 88'
League Two Gameweek 40
Mar 21, 2020 3.00pm
Brunton Park