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Championship header 2

League Two

Leyton Orient
League Two | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Breyer Group Stadium
Carlisle United

Leyton Orient
1 - 0
Carlisle

Mellish (73' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Leyton Orient and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leyton Orient in this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
47.36% (0.020999999999994 0.02)27.3% (0.0019999999999989 0)25.34% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.55% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.96% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)59.04% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)79.5% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (0.0010000000000048 0)59.65% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.73% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)39.26% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.02% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)75.97% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 47.35%
    Carlisle United 25.34%
    Draw 27.3%
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 13.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.43% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82%
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 47.35%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.81% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.3%
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 25.34%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
2-3
Leyton Orient
Edmondson (15'), Gibson (56')
Archibald (2', 17'), Drinan (50')
Hunt (8')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Leyton Orient
0-1
Carlisle

Beckles (10'), Archibald (48')
Archibald (50')
Patrick (5')
Armer (52'), Riley (58'), Whelan (70'), Simeu (76')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
1-1
Leyton Orient
Abrahams (9' pen.)
Smith (74')
Sweeney (17'), Smith (55'), Drinan (61'), Kyprianou (65'), Clay (90+2')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Leyton Orient
2-3
Carlisle
Wilkinson (3'), Kemp (45+3')
Happe (18'), Dennis (62'), Clay (89')
Mellish (42'), Alessandra (54' pen.), Tanner (90+1')
Walker (80'), Mellish (89')
Mar 23, 2021 6.30pm
Carlisle
0-1
Leyton Orient
Wilkinson (88')
rhs 2.0


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