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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 39.78% ( | 26.99% ( | 33.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.37% ( | 54.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.04% ( | 75.96% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.12% ( | 26.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.81% ( | 62.19% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( | 30.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.88% ( | 67.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 4-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 39.77% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.23% |