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Bradford City
League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Utilita Energy Stadium
Carlisle United

Bradford
0 - 0
Carlisle


Oliver (79'), Oliver (79+79')
FT

Moxon (37'), Barclay (56'), Armer (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Bradford City and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bradford City 1-1 Carlisle United

With both teams competing at the top end of the League Two table, it is very difficult to separate them, so we are expecting a score draw on Tuesday night. Bradford have made a habit out of drawing games in recent times, and that record is likely to continue in a match involving two very evenly-matches sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
39.78% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03) 26.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 33.23% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.57% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)54.63% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)75.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (-0.012 -0.01)26.88% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)62.19% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.16% (0.028000000000006 0.03)30.83% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88% (0.031000000000006 0.03)67.11% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 39.77%
    Carlisle United 33.23%
    Draw 26.99%
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 39.77%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 9.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.23%

How you voted: Bradford vs Carlisle

Bradford City
50.0%
Draw
32.4%
Carlisle United
17.6%
74
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 3pm
Bradford
2-0
Carlisle
Angol (13'), Walker (69')
Cooke (79')

Whelan (56'), Armer (67'), Dickenson (80'), Omotoye (86')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
2-0
Bradford
Gibson (45'), Patrick (87')

Songo'o (64'), Angol (90+1'), Watt (90+4')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
3-1
Bradford
Bennett (37'), Zanzala (39', 56')
Zanzala (74'), Farman (79'), Alessandra (80'), Patrick (90')
O'Connor (64')
Watt (34'), Sutton (69'), O'Connor (73'), Rowe (90+5')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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