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Championship header 2

League Two
Bradford City
League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Utilita Energy Stadium
Carlisle United

Bradford
0 - 0
Carlisle


Oliver (79'), Oliver (79+79')
FT

Moxon (37'), Barclay (56'), Armer (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Bradford City and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bradford City

All competitions
Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bradford City 1-1 Carlisle United

 With both teams competing at the top end of the League Two table, it is very difficult to separate them, so we are expecting a score draw on Tuesday night. Bradford have made a habit out of drawing games in recent times, and that record is likely to continue in a match involving two very evenly-matches sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
39.78% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03) 26.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 33.23% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.57% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)54.63% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)75.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (-0.012 -0.01)26.88% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)62.19% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.16% (0.028000000000006 0.03)30.83% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88% (0.031000000000006 0.03)67.11% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 39.77%
    Carlisle United 33.23%
    Draw 26.99%
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 39.77%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 9.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.23%

How you voted: Bradford vs Carlisle

Bradford City
50.0%
Draw
32.4%
Carlisle United
17.6%
74
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
1-0
Bradford
Huntington (34')

Chapman (58')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Bradford
2-0
Carlisle
Angol (13'), Walker (69')
Cooke (79')

Whelan (56'), Armer (67'), Dickenson (80'), Omotoye (86')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
2-0
Bradford
Gibson (45'), Patrick (87')

Songo'o (64'), Angol (90+1'), Watt (90+4')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
3-1
Bradford
Bennett (37'), Zanzala (39', 56')
Zanzala (74'), Farman (79'), Alessandra (80'), Patrick (90')
O'Connor (64')
Watt (34'), Sutton (69'), O'Connor (73'), Rowe (90+5')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Bradford
0-1
Carlisle
Bennett (57')
Hayden (61'), Bennett (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
> League Two Full Table


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