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Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Mansfield Town

Swindon
2 - 4
Mansfield

Hepburn-Murphy (3'), Williams (86')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Quinn (13'), Akins (32'), Oates (33'), Boateng (65')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Mansfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawMansfield Town
33.87% (0.0039999999999978 0)26.29%39.84% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.33% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)51.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.54% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)73.45%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05%28.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.83% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)25.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)60.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 33.87%
    Mansfield Town 39.83%
    Draw 26.29%
Swindon TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 9.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 33.87%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.38%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 39.83%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Mansfield
2-5
Swindon
Gordon (1'), Swan (30')
Boateng (31')
Williams (7', 35'), Jephcott (51'), Darcy (68'), Gladwin (85' pen.)
Jan 11, 2022 7.30pm
Mansfield
3-2
Swindon
Maris (4'), McLaughlin (31' pen.), Bowery (43')
Hawkins (15'), O'Toole (63')
McKirdy (28'), Iandolo (89')
Odimayo (30'), Conroy (63'), Hunt (73')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Swindon
1-0
Mansfield
Simpson (59')
Kesler (75'), Odimayo (88'), McKirdy (90+3')

Clarke (37')
Mar 31, 2020 7.45pm
Mansfield
P-P
Swindon
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Swindon
1-0
Mansfield
Doyle (23')

Preston (15'), Smith (27')
rhs 2.0


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