League Two

League Two | Gameweek 39

Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK

One Call Stadium

Mansfield
4 - 1
Crawley

Clarke (4'), Kilgour (47'), Keillor-Dunn (50', 65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ogungbo (70')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions

Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Sutton
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Crawley Town
58.47% ( -0.21)	22.96% ( 0.09)	18.56% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 49.44% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.45% (

-0.21)

49.54% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.43% (

-0.19)

71.57% (

0.19)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.36% (

-0.15)

16.64% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.52% (

-0.26)

46.48% (

0.26)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.31% (

0.02)

40.69% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.72% (

0.01)

77.28% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 58.47%

Crawley Town 18.56%

Draw 22.96%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 58.47%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.96%	0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.03% Total : 18.56%