League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 3
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Aaron Pierre 8' goal
  • goal Luke Jephcott 16'
  • goal Jacob Wakeling 18'
  • goal Luke Jephcott 32'
  • goal Thomas Clayton 61'
  • goal Ronan Darcy 90'+2'

AFC Wimbledon vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
Stevenage 2 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ali Al-Hamadi

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Swindon 1 - 0 Bradford
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Jonny Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 30.91% (+0.01)
Draw 26.81% (-0.01)
Swindon Town 42.29% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.37% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.47% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 54.53% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 24.11% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 75.88% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 10.8% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.2% (-0.01)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 67.61% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.39% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.1% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 68.9% (-0.01)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.5% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.5%
Over 1.5 39.66% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 60.34% (-0.01)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 30.91%
Draw 26.8%
Swindon Town 42.28%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.31%
2-1 @ 7.17%
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 2.7% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 30.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.8%
Swindon Town
0-1 @ 11.28%
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-2 @ 7.71% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.96%
0-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35%
0-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 42.28%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
  • Joe Pigott 20' goal
  • Will Nightingale 26' goal
  • Ayoub Assal 44' goal
  • Joe Pigott 54' goal
  • Shane McLoughlin 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Grounds 20'
  • yellowcard Jordan Lyden 26'
  • yellowcard Brett Pitman 45'+2'
  • goal Tyler Smith 79'
League One Gameweek 5
Oct 10, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Energy Check County Ground
  • Jordan Stevens 19' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Pigott 28'
  • yellowcard Shane McLoughlin 66'
League One
Apr 14, 2017 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Tom Soares 24'
  • yellowcard George Francomb 41'
  • yellowcard Paul Robinson 50'
League One
Oct 15, 2016 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Robinson 30' yellowcard
  • Dean Parrett 62' yellowcard
  • Dannie Bulman 68' yellowcard
  • Darius Charles 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yaser Kasim 32'
  • yellowcard Conor Thomas 69'
  • yellowcard Nathan Thompson 79'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Vigouroux 89'
League Two
Jan 2, 2012 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Caddis 58' goal
  • Aden Flint 68' yellowcard
  • Alan Connell 76' goal