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Championship header 2

League Two

AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Swindon Town

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 5
Swindon

Pierre (8')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Jephcott (16' pen., 32'), Wakeling (18'), Clayton (61'), Darcy (90+2' pen.)
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 1-0 Bradford
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSwindon Town
30.91% (0.0019999999999989 0)26.81% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)42.29% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 50.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.47% (0.0040000000000049 0)54.53% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)75.88% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (0.0019999999999953 0)32.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.66% (0.00099999999999767 0)60.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 30.91%
    Swindon Town 42.28%
    Draw 26.8%
AFC WimbledonDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 9.31%
2-1 @ 7.17%
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 2.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 30.91%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 11.28%
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-2 @ 7.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.96%
0-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.35%
0-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 42.28%

Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
gameweek 21
Swindon
0-0
AFC Wimbledon

Blake-Tracy (29')
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 42
AFC Wimbledon
4-1
Swindon
Pigott (20' pen., 54'), Nightingale (26'), Assal (44')
McLoughlin (90+3')
Smith (79')
Grounds (20'), Lyden (26'), Pitman (45+2')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
gameweek 5
Swindon
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Stevens (19')
Pigott (28')
McLoughlin (66')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Swindon
0-0
AFC Wimbledon

Soares (24'), Francomb (41'), Robinson (50')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
0-0
Swindon

Robinson (30'), Parrett (62'), Bulman (68'), Charles (91')

Kasim (32'), Thomas (69'), Thompson (79'), Vigouroux (89')
rhs 2.0


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