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Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Bradford City

Swindon
1 - 0
Bradford

Williams (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Bradford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Barrow
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two

Bradford City

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 0-3 Bradford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawBradford City
31.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)41.02% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.06% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (0.053999999999995 0.05)55.11% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (0.045000000000002 0.05)76.36% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (0.025999999999996 0.03)31.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (0.029 0.03)68.4% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (0.033000000000001 0.03)26.43% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4% (0.045000000000002 0.05)61.6% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 31.94%
    Bradford City 41.01%
    Draw 27.04%
Swindon TownDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 31.94%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.78% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.01%

How you voted: Swindon vs Bradford

Swindon Town
0.0%
Draw
14.3%
Bradford City
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Bradford
1-1
Swindon
Wright (31')
Jephcott (90+2')
Iandolo (34')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Bradford
1-2
Swindon
Evans (18')
O'Connor (40')
McKirdy (21'), Payne (90+6' pen.)
Reed (57'), Iandolo (61'), McKirdy (64')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Swindon
1-3
Bradford
Payne (78' pen.)
Gladwin (20'), Baudry (25'), Hunt (50')
Lavery (16'), Sutton (40'), Robinson (75')
O'Donnell (66'), Lavery (67'), Robinson (75')
Jan 4, 2020 3pm
Swindon
1-1
Bradford
Yates (11' pen.)
Rose (42'), Jaiyesimi (61'), Hunt (73'), Woolery (96')
Lyden (93')
McCartan (89')
Reeves (13'), McCartan (89')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Bradford
2-1
Swindon
Akpan (69'), McCartan (79')
Mellor (90')
Yates (74')
Lyden (21'), Anderson (26'), Iandolo (43')
rhs 2.0


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