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Championship header 2

League Two

Bradford City
League Two | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Utilita Energy Stadium
Sutton United

Bradford
3 - 1
Sutton

Banks (12'), Chapman (63'), Cook (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bugiel (80')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Bradford City and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bradford City

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Bradford
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Stockport
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.

Result
Bradford CityDrawSutton United
41.37% (0.541 0.54)27.31% (0.024000000000001 0.02)31.32% (-0.572 -0.57)
Both teams to score 49.02% (-0.275 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.67% (-0.258 -0.26)56.33% (0.252 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.64% (-0.209 -0.21)77.36% (0.20399999999999 0.2)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (0.17299999999999 0.17)26.8% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (0.228 0.23)62.1% (-0.233 -0.23)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97% (-0.538 -0.54)33.02% (0.533 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (-0.599 -0.6)69.61% (0.59399999999999 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 41.37%
    Sutton United 31.32%
    Draw 27.31%
Bradford CityDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.65% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.85% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 31.32%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Sutton
0-2
Bradford
Cook (37'), Banks (51')
Cook (3')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Sutton
1-4
Bradford
Smith (55')
Bugiel (45+3'), Goodliffe (71')
Vernam (16', 77'), Songo'o (85'), Cook (90+7')
Angol (52'), Songo'o (54'), Hendrie (64')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Bradford
2-2
Sutton
Robinson (34'), Angol (81')
Threlkeld (24'), Sutton (62'), Cooke (88')
Canavan (31')
Milsom (32' pen.), Smith (76')
John (41')
rhs 2.0


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