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Championship header 2

League Two

Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Stockport County

Sutton
0 - 1
Stockport

FT(HT: 0-0)
Stretton (53')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and Stockport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Stockport County

All competitions
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Salford City
Friday, March 31 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stockport County in this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawStockport County
31.82% (0.059999999999999 0.06)28.08% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)40.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.95% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.98% (0.056000000000004 0.06)59.02% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.51% (0.043000000000003 0.04)79.49% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (0.072000000000003 0.07)34.07% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (0.079000000000001 0.08)70.76% (-0.080999999999989 -0.08)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)28.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.37% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)64.64% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 31.82%
    Stockport County 40.1%
    Draw 28.08%
Sutton UnitedDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 31.82%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.81% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 12.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.06%
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 40.1%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Stockport
3-0
Sutton
Wootton (19'), Madden (57'), Collar (72')
Brown (1')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Sutton
1-1
Stockport
Beautyman (56')
Bugiel (14'), Beautyman (90')
Jennings (90+6')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Stockport
0-2
Sutton

Hogan (56'), Maynard (56')
Hogan (57')
Hinchliffe (31' og.), Olaofe (68')
Beautyman (36'), Wyatt (90')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Stockport
0-0
Sutton
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Sutton
0-0
Stockport

Barden (7')

Palmer (77'), Keane (93')