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Championship header 2

League Two

Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Tranmere Rovers

Crawley
2 - 1
Tranmere

Oteh (30'), Powell (40')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Saunders (8')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Tranmere Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 4-0 Crawley
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Tranmere 1-0 Swindon
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawTranmere Rovers
40.86% (0.032000000000004 0.03)26.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)32.25% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.59% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.52% (0.0010000000000048 0)54.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.16% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (0.01700000000001 0.02)26.22% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.68% (0.022999999999996 0.02)61.33% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)31.42% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)67.8% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 40.86%
    Tranmere Rovers 32.25%
    Draw 26.89%
Crawley TownDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 40.86%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 32.25%

Head to Head
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Tranmere
1-0
Crawley
Turnbull (68')
Walker (87')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Crawley
0-1
Tranmere

Craig (72')
Spearing (65')
Spearing (86'), Hemmings (87')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Crawley
0-1
Tranmere

Davies (25'), Appiah (69'), Francillette (89')
McManaman (38')
Nevitt (3'), Clarke (89'), Dieseruvwe (90+1')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Tranmere
2-1
Crawley
Clarke (28', 79')
Cogley (16'), Merrie (20')
Appiah (64')
Davies (33'), Powell (43')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Tranmere
0-1
Crawley

Clarke (14')
Nichols (58')
Nadesan (19')