Crawley

2 - 1

Tranmere

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.