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Championship header 2

League Two

Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Crawley Town

Barrow
4 - 0
Crawley

Gordon (18', 47', 55' pen.), Garner (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Barrow and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 3-0 Barrow
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Bradford
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawCrawley Town
52.69% (-0.567 -0.57)25.66% (0.151 0.15)21.64% (0.409 0.41)
Both teams to score 46.24% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81% (-0.146 -0.15)56.18% (0.139 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.76% (-0.119 -0.12)77.24% (0.11099999999999 0.11)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (-0.29600000000001 -0.3)21.37% (0.29 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.64% (-0.456 -0.46)54.35% (0.449 0.45)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.81% (0.341 0.34)41.18% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.28% (0.302 0.3)77.71% (-0.307 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 52.68%
    Crawley Town 21.64%
    Draw 25.65%
BarrowDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 13.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.47% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.39% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 52.68%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.115 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.082 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.58% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 21.64%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Crawley
1-0
Barrow
Nadesan (6')
Lynch (46')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Crawley
1-0
Barrow
Appiah (57')

Kay (64'), Rooney (68'), Platt (86')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Barrow
0-1
Crawley

Banks (27'), Brough (66')
Tilley (56')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Barrow
3-2
Crawley
Davies (10'), Quigley (36' pen.), Taylor (90+6')
Beadling (90+2')
Francomb (31'), Powell (84')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Crawley
4-2
Barrow
Watters (23', 58', 90+3'), Nichols (81' pen.)
Craig (33'), Frost (38'), Hessenthaler (47')
Kay (33'), Hird (50')
Brown (33'), Platt (90+2')
Brown (68')
rhs 2.0


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